Daily Report on January 10, 2017
Asian shares were mixed on Tuesday. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.4%, led by gains in Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index which added 0.5 percent. Equities in New Zealand and Singapore rose while stock benchmarks such as Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index, Korea’s Kospi index and Shanghai Composite Index were in red. Japan’s Topix also dropped on the back of a strengthening yen. The stock index lost 0.6%, after paring an earlier loss during the Asian morning trading session.
Crude price were struggling for direction ahead of European trading hours after losing nearly 4% on Monday. Expectations over output cuts planned by some members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers such as Russia eased worries about rising oil rigs in the U.S., which was reported to have advanced for 10 weeks in a row.
According to the National Statistics Bureau on Tuesday, China's producer prices rose much better than expected last month. Led by prices of coal and other raw materials, the country’s prices of coal and other raw materials surged 5.5% in December from a year earlier. The headline reading reached a 3.3 percent increase, soaring past both expectations of a 4.5% gain and November’s result of a 3.3% increase.
Meanwhile, consumer prices remained subdued. Consumer inflation rose only 2.1 percent on a yearly basis, weighed down by food prices that rose at a more modest pace. The government research institute, the China Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), forecast a growth of 2.2 percent in CPI and an increase of 1.6 percent in PPI in 2017. This is good news for the country as for 2016, CPI rose 2.0 percent while PPI slid 1.4 percent.
In Australia, retail sales rose 0.2% in November compared to the previous month, as stated by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The figure rose much less than economist’s expectation calling for a 0.4% rise.
Fig: NZDJPY H4 Technical Chart
NZDJPY has been on a decline with the price action crossing over a couple of moving averages from above. RSI has fallen below the 50 line, signaling strengthening sellers in the market. The pair may test the support at 80.800.
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Fig: USDMXN H4 Technical Chart
USDMXN extended its up moves after pulling back from as low as 21.21100. The pair has been supported by the short-term 20-period MA20 and is likely to attempt the all-time record high at 21.60000. While RSI is surging to the overbought zone, ADX index is edging higher with wide gap between the +DI and –DI lines.
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Fig: AUDJPY H4 Technical Chart
AUDJPT rebounded from the slopping uptrend line which has been formed by higher lows. Long lower shadows in recent candles also indicate strong bullish force that helped prevent the price from falling lower. RSI pulled back from the central line, indicating overwhelmingly dominating buyers.
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Fig: Coffee H4 Technical Chart
Coffee price once again moved past the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. The commodity reversed higher after a correction. The short-term MA20 has penetrated the long-term MA50 from below, suggesting further advance. As can be seen from the stochastic chart, the %K line has crossed over the %D line, confirming the uptrend.
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