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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 22-08-2013, 02:08 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro came under increased pressure, following release of dollar supportive FOMC minutes. The pair extended pullback from Tuesday’s fresh high at 1.3450, retracing 50% of 1.3205/1.3450 ascend on a dip to 1.3330 support, reinforced by 55DMA, where temporary footstep was found. Negative hourly studies keep the downside at risk, as the price loses momentum, with violation of higher platform at 1.33 zone, expected to sideline larger bulls and trigger further weakness. Conversely, bounce above initial 1.3400 barrier, is required to neutralize bears in favor of fresh attempt at 1.3450 peak.

Res: 1.3373; 1.3400; 1.3427; 1.3450
Sup: 1.3330; 1.3310; 1.3263; 1.3232







GBPUSD

Cable eases after cracking psychological 1.57 resistance and posting fresh high at 1.5716. Near-term targets at 1.5421, 100% Fibonacci expansion of the wave from 1.5100 and key 1.5751 barrier, 17/06 peak, remain in focus, as current pullback could be described as corrective, as long as key support and pivotal point at 1.5400 stays intact. Four-hour chart technicals are still positive, however, negative tone on hourly studies, keeps the downside risk in play, with penetration through initial 1.5600/1.5575 supports, to signal deeper pullback.

Res: 1.5627; 1.5650; 1.5700; 1.5716
Sup: 1.5576; 1.5500; 1.5480; 1.5420






USDJPY

The pair extended recovery rally from 96.90 low and broke above 98.00 barrier, 61.8% of 98.64/96.90 downleg. Improved hourly conditions see potential for extension towards key near-term barrier at 98.64, 15/08 high. Positive near-term studies support the notion, however, regain of 98.64 barrier is seen as minimum requirement to complete near-term corrective phase and open way for stronger recovery towards 99.00, trendline resistance / 100DMA. Alternatively, upside rejection under 98.64 would signal prolonged sideways trade, with downside risk to revive on possible extension below 97.00 support, as daily studies are negative.


Res: 98.64; 98.75; 99.00; 99.50
Sup: 98.00; 97.60; 97.13; 96.90







AUDUSD

The Aussie remains under pressure, as fresh weakness from 0.9220/32 double-top penetrated through 0.9000 support, with daily close occurring below the latter. The price approaches initial targets at 0.8920/00, before final push towards key support, 05/08 low at 0.8846, as negative tone dominates on all timeframes and keeps the bears in play. Corrective rallies should be ideally capped under 0.9100, also near mid-point of slide from 0.9232 to 0.8930.

Res: 0.9000; 0.9045; 0.9081; 0.9100
Sup: 0.8965; 0.8930; 0.8918; 0.8900

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  #22 (permalink)  
Old 26-08-2013, 05:53 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD
The euro achieved an uptrend high of 1.3450 on the 20th of August. Since then we saw a reversal attempt when it fell to 1.3300 on the 22nd. It did manage to recover most of these losses went it went back up to 1.3410. We will remain bullish as long as 1.3300 support holds with targets at 1.3410 & 1.3450. However the opposite scenario would open the way for 1.3300 & 1.3260
Res: 1.3410, 1.3450, 1.3480, 1.3520
Sup: 1.3330, 1.3300, 1.3260, 1.3230


GBPUSD
The cable ended its uptrend on the 21st of August when it reached a high of 1.5717, since then we saw a 180 pip drop to 1.5537 which constitutes our main support for today’s session. There was an attempt last Friday to go back to the uptrend but was capped at 1.5635 resistance. Only if it manages to go above this level will we reverse our current bearish outlook on the H1 chart. Sterling is currently trading below the Ichimoku Cloud
Res: 1.5600, 1.5640, 1.5700, 1.5720
Sup: 1.5540, 1.5515, 1.5490, 1.5420


USDJPY
We do have a couple of bad signals for the current uptrend on the Yen. We have a triple top reversal pattern at 99.10, prices are trading outside the upward channel and its currently testing 55 moving average. If it does drop below the 55 Exponential moving average on the H1 chart it will be our final confirmation of the uptrend reversal. Or the same could be said if we see a break below 98.40 support.
Res: 98.80, 99.15, 99.35, 99.55
Sup: 98.40, 98.10, 97.85, 97.30


AUDUSD
The Aussie reached a low of 0.8930 on the 22nd of August. In the same day it went up to 0.9040 and since then has not been able to break that resistance getting stuck in range mode. So a good signal for the bulls is if we see 1 or 2 candle closing on the H1 chart above this level. The RSI is moving horizontally which means we have weak momentum on both the buy and sell side
Res: 0.9040, 0.9100, 0.9130, 0.9150
Sup: 0.8970, 0.8930, 0.8900, 0.8850


Gold
A key level we are watching today is 1400 psychological resistance level. Gold managed to rise above this level during today’s trading (reaching 1407) however as we always say we need to see 1 or 2 candles close above this level to be sure it broke it and not just be a failed attempt. The precious metal found support at 1390 shortly afterwards.
Res: 1400, 1407, 1415, 1425
Sup: 1390, 1378, 1368, 1355
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  #23 (permalink)  
Old 27-08-2013, 01:32 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD
Euro failed to break or even test any support or resistance levels during the previous session. It spent most of the time trading in a tight 30 pip range between 1.3390 and 1.3360. So the bullish outlook remains as long as trading stays above 1.3330 with the same targets at 1.3410 & 1.3440. Momentum indicators RSI, MACD give no signals which means the bullish outlook is weak. German ifo Business Climate is the figure to watch out for today for the EURUSD at 8:00am GMT
Alaweyeh.khalil@hotmail.com
Res: 1.3410, 1.3450, 1.3480, 1.3520
Sup: 1.3330, 1.3300, 1.3260, 1.3230


GBPUSD
Overall we saw narrow trading within a 40 pip range, however there was an attempt to break the 1.5600 level. It did manage to rise above it reaching 1.5610, but the candle on the H1 failed to close above 1.5600 resistances so we will consider it a false break and that resistance still valid. We see here the same scenario as the euro were momentum indicators show weak momentum on both the buy and sell side, which may continue today with lack of figures from the UK
Res: 1.5600, 1.5640, 1.5700, 1.5720
Sup: 1.5540, 1.5515, 1.5490, 1.5420


USDJPY
Strong moves on the Yen, continuing its downtrend breaking 98.40 supports and falling further to test 98.10. The first attempt failed to show a candle closing below that support and we saw a subsequent rise. It currently dropped back to that level and is testing it again. Although now it’s trading below 98.10t, we won’t consider it broken until it trades for some time below it proving the market is comfortable breaking that support and not just another failed attempt
Res: 98.40, 98.80, 99.15, 99.35,
Sup: 98.10, 97.85, 97.30, 97.55


AUDUSD
The Aussie breaks 0.8970 support and looks heading to test 0.8930. However we might see a brief retracement before that happens. It’s important to note that 0.8930 will be a much more difficult barrier for it to pass, as it is the low of the previous downtrend that ended on the 2nd of August. Moving averages 20 & 55 plus momentum indicator RSI(14) point down.
Res: 0.9040, 0.9100, 0.9130, 0.9150
Sup:, 0.8930, 0.8900, 0.8845, 0.8800
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  #24 (permalink)  
Old 28-08-2013, 01:27 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD
Again we see a failure to break any support or resistance levels during the previous session. There was 2 attempt to break 1.3330 support, first time dropping to daily low 1.3322 and second time to 1.3327, however in both cases the candle on the H1 chart failed to close below 1.3330 support making it a failed attempt instead of a genuine break. This means the outlook remains the same and no change to any support or resistance levels.

Watch out for US pending Home Sales m/m at 2:00pm GMT which is expected at 0.2% an improvement on the previous reading of -0.4%

Res: 1.3410, 1.3450, 1.3480, 1.3520
Sup: 1.3330, 1.3300, 1.3260, 1.3230



GBPUSD
Strong downward momentum for the Sterling, we saw it break 2 supports (1.5540 & 1.5515) and continued to drop to test the 3rd support at 1.5490. It did manage to achieve a daily low below that level at 1.5480 however the candle on the H1 chart did not close below it so we will consider it just a test and not a break, so the support still holds. Sterling retraced up 75 pips later on and now looks like it’s going for another shot at the 1.5490 support

Res: 1.5555, 1.5600, 1.5640, 1.5700,
Sup: 1.5490, 1.5420, 1.5375. 1.5300



USDJPY
The previous session was a big losing day for USDJPY, with the daily range between high and low at 155 pips. This steep drop broke all 4 previously mentioned supports 98.10, 97.8, 97.55 and 97.30. A strong achievement for just 1 day. It achieved a trend low of 96.80 which will be our first support level for today, since that low USDJPY took a brief break retracing 60 pips back up to 97.40 during today’s early trading. Japan's Nikkei ends down 1.5% at 13,338.46

Res: 97.40, 97.70, 98.00 98.40
Sup: 96.80, 96.40, 96.00, 95.80



AUDUSD
After 2 previous failed attempts to break 0.8930 support, the Aussie finally did earlier today and continued its fall to test next support at 0.8900, which is also today’s daily low. We saw a 30 pip retracement afterwards which is usually expected. The current downtrend for AUDUSD on the H1 chart is from 0.9070 (26th August) to 0.8900. The outlook will remain bearish today as long as trading stays below 0.9030 with a revisit of 0.8900 and further fall to 0.8845 as our targets

Res: 0.9000, 0.9040, 0.9100, 0.9130
Sup:, 0.8900, 0.8845, 0.8800, 0.8769



Gold
Gold has seen 4 consecutive sessions of gains and today appears to continue this trend. It found no problem breaking our 3 resistances 1407, 1415 and 1425 to achieve a current uptrend high at 1433. Gold futures declined early Wednesday, with the safe-haven asset taking a breather after surging into a bull market on concerns about military action against Syria. Only a drop back below 1400 will we reverse our current bullish outlook

Res: 1433, 1445, 1455, 1490
Sup: 1413, 1405, 1390, 1370

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  #25 (permalink)  
Old 29-08-2013, 02:01 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD
Euro broke 1.3330 support and continued its fall to test 1.3300. Afterwards it retraced back up to 1.3345 and now looks back on its way to test 1.3300 again. So currently our outlook switches to bearish as long as trading stays below 1.3370. The dollar rose against major rivals Wednesday, holding on to gains as investors continued to worry about a possible military strike in Syria. U.S. Fed is likely to slow its monthly bond purchases and perhaps even raise interest rates. Currencies tend to sell off in periods of global risk aversion or rising U.S. interest rates

Res: 1.3370, 1.3410, 1.3450, 1.3480
Sup1.3300, 1.3260, 1.3230, 1.3300



GBPUSD
Sterling continued its current downtrend breaking 1.5490 support and falling further to test 1.5420. Since it has retraced back up almost 100 pips testing key pivot point 1.5555, which if successful will reverse our outlook to bullish. England’s central bank said it stands ready to step up stimulus efforts if rising interest rates threaten economic recovery in Britain. It emphasized that the previously mentioned 7% unemployment rate is a threshold, not trigger, for raising UK interest rates

Res: 1.5555, 1.5600, 1.5640, 1.5700
Sup: 1.5480, 1.5420, 1.5375. 1.5300



USDJPY
The USDJPY on the H1 chart made a complete reversal of the previous downtrend. Among the signs was that head and shoulders patterns after hitting a low of 96.80, and it later continued to rise to break the downward channel and rise above the 55 exponential moving average, breaking 2 resistances on its way 97.40 and 97.70. So our current outlook is bullish as long as trading is maintained above 97.15 with our first target at 98.00. Most Asian stocks advance, tracking a rebound on Wall Street, with the energy sector particularly strong after U.S. benchmark crude-oil prices top $110-a-barrel overnight

Res: 98.00 98.40, 98.75, 99.15
Sup: 97.40, 97.15, 96.80, 96.40,



AUDUSD
We didn’t see any major moves on the Aussie as compared to the other currencies, however we did see it test 0.8900 twice but fail to break it, proving itself a strong support. Currently it’s trading close to psychological 0.9000 resistance and we will monitor if it will be able to break it as it already failed once before. If it does break it this leaves 0.9040 and 0.9100 targets in view.

Res: 0.9000, 0.9040, 0.9100, 0.9130
Sup:, 0.8900, 0.8845, 0.8800, 0.8769



Gold
After achieving an uptrend high of 1433, gold has dropped 27 dollars so far breaking 1413 support and is currently testing 1405. If it does break that support then we will not just consider it a retracement but a full reversal of the uptrend on the H1 chart. The drop comes with a gain in the U.S. dollar on Syria-related concerns tugging at prices after they climbed to their best levels in nearly three months.
Res: 1422, 1433, 1445, 1455,
Sup: 1405, 1390, 1378, 1370

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  #26 (permalink)  
Old 02-09-2013, 01:35 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro remains under pressure, as near-term downtrend off 1.3400 upside rejection, completed 1.3187/1.3450 upleg on extension to 1.3172, over 38.2% retracement of larger 1.2754/1.3450 ascend. The price hovers around 1.32 handle at the beginning of the week, trading in near-term consolidative mode. Negative tone prevails and sees the downside favored, with repeated attempt through 1.3205/1.3187 supports, expected to open 200DMA at 1.3140 and 1.3100, round figure/50% retracement support. However, overextended 4-hour studies and bearish divergence on hourly chart, see potential for more significant corrective action. Lower platform at 1.3253, also Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3397/1.3172, offers initial resistance, ahead of Fibonacci 50% barrier at 1.3284 and psychological 1.33 resistance, also 22/08 low and near 61.8% retracement, where rallies should be ideally capped. Any break higher, would ease bear pressure and signal near-term base.

Res: 1.3253; 1.3284; 1.3300; 1.3344
Sup: 1.3205; 1.3172; 1.3140; 1.3100






GBPUSD

Cable recovers 50% of 1.5716/1.5427 fall, on acceleration from last Friday’s low at 1.5461, with Monday’s gap-higher opening. Positive near-term studies are supportive, as repeated attempt below 200DMA at 1.55, so far showed false breaks. However, regain of 1.5600, near 61.8% retracement and lower top at 1.5636, is required to confirm recovery and re-focus 1.5700, round figure and 1.5716, 21/08 peak / 100% Fibonacci expansion of the upleg from 1.5100, as larger picture bulls remain intact for now. Only break below 1.5420 higher platform, would bears back in play and signal completion of daily Head and Shoulders pattern.

Res: 1.5572; 1.5600; 1.5636; 1.5700
Sup: 1.5546; 1.5504; 1.5461; 1.5427





USDJPY

The pair continues to trend higher, off 96.80 low, with price approaching psychological 99.00 barrier and 99.14, 23/08 high. Repeated attempt above bear-channel off 101.52 peak, sees scope for eventual attempt through 99.14, near-term congestion top, above which to confirm higher base at 96.80 and allow for further retracement of 101.52/96.80 downleg. Positive studies on lower timeframes support the notion. Initial supports lay at 98.50 and 97.87.

Res: 99.00; 99.14; 99.25; 99.93
Sup: 98.50; 98.27; 98.00; 97.87






AUDUSD

The Aussie remains under pressure, as fresh extension of downleg from 0.9332 peak, retested 0.8890 low, where temporary footstep was found. Corrective rally is under way, with the price cracking 50% retracement of 0.9068/0.8890 descend and approaching psychological 0.9000 barrier. Sustained break here is seen as minimum requirement to signal near-term base and allow for stronger recovery, however, gains should be limited, as larger timeframes studies being negative and keeping the risk of full retracement of 0.8846/0.9232 upleg in play.

Res: 0.9000; 0.9026; 0.9068; 0.9100
Sup: 0.8962; 0.8923; 0.8890; 0.8846

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  #27 (permalink)  
Old 09-09-2013, 01:47 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro/Usd trades in near-term corrective mode, off last week’s fresh low at 1.3100, where the pair found temporary support. Strong rally from 1.3100, with weekly close above 200DMA, remains capped under 1.3200 barrier for now, where the price consolidates. Positive hourly structure, with price action being underpinned by 20/55DMA’s bullish crossover, sees the upside favored. Break above 1.32 to open next layers of significant resistances at 1.3220 zone, Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.3397/1.3103 / 55DMA and 1.3250, 50% retracement, 30/08 lower platform, break of which to confirm recovery. Indicators on 4-hour chart are in the negative zone that keeps the downside at risk, however bullish MACD/RSI divergence is seen as supportive factor. Immediate support lies at 1.3160, while violation of 1.3100, would bring bears in play and signal resumption of larger downtrend from 1.3450 peak.

Res: 1.3189; 1.3200; 1.3220; 1.3250
Sup: 1.3160; 1.3136; 1.3100; 1.3080





GBPUSD

Cable holds positive near-term tone, as Friday’s rally spiked to a marginally higher high at 1.5679, en-route towards near-term targets at 1.5700/16. Technicals on lower and larger timeframes are positive and favor further upside, with clearance of initial 1.5716 barrier, expected to open way towards key 1.5751, 17/06 peak. Overnight’s low at 1.5611, offers initial support, along with psychological 1.5600 level, while only slide below Friday’s low at 1.5562, would signal stronger pullback.

Res: 1.5666; 1.5679; 1.5700; 1.5716
Sup: 1.5611; 1.5600; 1.5562; 1.5553






USDJPY

The pair recovered good part of last Friday’s losses, when the price dipped to 98.53, following brief break above 100 barrier and fresh high being posted at 100.21. Gap higher opening cracked 100 hurdle again, however, weak hourly studies keep the downside at risk. Loss of 99.00, psychological support and Friday’s closing price, would trigger fresh weakness and expose 98.50 breakpoint, Friday’s low / 50% retracement of 96.80/100.21 ascend. Conversely, sustained break above 100 barrier, is required to resume broader uptrend off 95.78, 08/08 low and look for test of 100.44/85 barriers.

Res: 99.79; 100.09; 100.21; 100.44
Sup: 99.15; 99.00; 98.50; 98.00






AUDUSD

The Aussie remains firm and consolidates last week’s gains that peaked above 0.9200 barrier. Positive tone prevails on lower timeframes and sees scope for eventual attempt through key near-term barriers at 0.9220/32, to confirm near-term base and open way for stronger corrective action towards 0.9300 zone, where the next barriers lay. Daily indicators breaking above the midlines, support the notion. Initial supports lies at 0.9160 zone, while only loss of 0.9115/00 handles, would delay immediate bulls.

Res: 0.9215; 0.9220; 0.9232; 0.9250
Sup: 0.9166; 0.9115; 0.9100; 0.9068

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  #28 (permalink)  
Old 10-09-2013, 05:19 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro regained strength after finding ground at 1.3100 zone, 50% of 1.2754/1.3450 upleg, rallying through 1.3200/20 and 1.3250 barriers. The price retraced exactly 50% of 1.3450/1.3103 descend at 1.3277, session high, with pause in rally suggested by overbought 1 and 4-hour conditions. Near-term studies are positive and favor further upside, with psychological 1.33 level and 1.3320, previous consolidation floor / Fibonacci 61.8%, are the next targets, with 1.3400, range top and 1.3450, 20/08 peak, seen on extension. Corrective dips should be ideally contained at 1.3200, psychological support / 20DMA, to keep freshly established bulls in play.

Res: 1.3279; 1.3300; 1.3320; 1.3355
Sup: 1.3250; 1.3220; 1.3200; 1.3190





GBPUSD

Cable has fully retraced 1.5716/1.5427, near-term corrective phase, as rally from 1.5427, extended gains to 1.5731 so far. Key support at 1.5751, 17/06 high, reinforced by weekly 200DMA, is in near-term focus, with break higher to confirm 1.4830/12 double-bottom and open way for further extension of bull-phase from 1.4812, 07/07 low. Overall bulls remain in play, with overbought near-term studies suggesting consolidative/corrective phase, ahead of fresh rally.

Res: 1.5731; 1.5751; 1.5809; 1.5843
Sup: 1.5684; 1.5645; 1.5615; 1.5562





USDJPY

The pair maintains positive near-term tone, as repeated rejection above 100 barrier, found footstep at 99.32, keeping the Monday’s gap intact. Fresh strength aims through 100 again, with break above 100.21, last Friday’s high, required to resume upleg from 96.80 and open 100/44/85, next targets. Near-term studies are positive and keep the upside favored, as long as the price holds above 99.32 higher platform. Conversely, loss of 99.00 would bring bears back in play.

Res: 100.09; 100.21; 100.44; 100.85
Sup: 99.46; 99.32; 99.00; 98.53







AUDUSD

The Aussie continues to trend higher and cleared strong barrier at 0.9220/32, 12/19 / 08 double-top. This confirms near-term base at 0.8846/90 and sees potential for further recovery towards pivotal 0.9300/50 resistance zone. Daily indicators are breaking into positive territory and gaining strong bullish momentum that supports the notion. However overbought near-term conditions suggest pause in current rally, in favor of corrective pullback. Previous barriers at 0.9232/20, now act as initial support, ahead of 0.9200/0.9190. Increased downside risk would be seen on a slide below 0.9100 handle, near 50% retracement of 0.8891/0.9288 rally.

Res: 0.9288; 0.9300; 0.9316; 0.9343
Sup: 0.9232; 0.9220; 0.9200; 0.9190







GOLD

Spot Gold remains under pressure, with near-term technicals maintain negative tone, as recovery attempt was capped under psychological 1400 barrier. Fresh weakness is under way, with immediate support at 1373 coming under pressure, ahead of more significant 1358/55, 06/09 low / trendline resistance, below which to open key support and breakpoint at 1350 zone. Alternative scenario requires break above 1400 and regain of 1416 lower top, to avert immediate downside risk.

Res: 1381; 1394; 1400; 1410
Sup: 1373; 1358; 1353; 1350
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  #29 (permalink)  
Old 11-09-2013, 01:53 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro holds firm and consolidates recent gains off 1.31 base, trading within 1.3230/80 range. Near-term studies remain positive and favor further upside, where 1.33 comes first, ahead of 1.3320, previous consolidation floor / Fibonacci 61.8% of 1.3450/1.3103 downleg. The downside is for now protected at 1.3230, previous resistance and 55DMA, with any extension lower, expected to hold above 1.32 handle, also near 50% retracement of 1.3103/1.3381 ascend, to keep positive structure intact.

Res: 1.3281; 1.3300; 1.3320; 1.3355
Sup: 1.3230; 1.3220; 1.3200; 1.3190







GBPUSD

The pair continues to trend higher, with clearance of the last hurdle at 1.5700, approaching key short-term resistance at 1.5751. Break here is required to complete three-month corrective phase and signal break out of six-month cycle, as well as to confirm larger picture double-bottom, formed on 1.4830/12 lows. Positive near-term studies remain supportive, however, hesitation at 1.5751 hurdle may be triggered by overbought conditions. Initial supports lie at 1.5700/1.5684, with stronger pullback expected to find ground above 1.5600/1.5585, near 50% retracement of 1.5427/1.5743 rally, to keep bulls in play.

Res: 1.5743; 1.5751; 1.5809; 1.5843
Sup: 1.5700; 1.5684; 1.5622; 1.5600







USDJPY

The pair finally cleared 100 barrier, with yesterday’s close above this level, suggesting further advance. With initial 100.44 resistance being taken out and 100.85 coming in near-term focus, extension towards key barrier at 101.52, 08/07, would be likely short-term scenario. Positive tone prevails on lower and larger timeframes studies and keeps bulls in play. Corrective dips would face immediate support at 100 level, with solid support at 99.32/00 zone, seen as ideal reversal point.

Res: 100.60; 100.85; 101.00; 101.52
Sup: 100.00; 99.32; 99.00; 98.53






AUDUSD

The Aussie remains well supported and continues to trend higher. Final push through psychological 0.9300 barrier, so far tested 0.9316, 24/07 high, cracking strong 0.9300/0.9350 resistance zone, break of which is required to confirm short-term base at 0.8846/90 lows and allow for stronger retracement of larger 1.0581/0.8846 descend. Near-term technicals are positive, with overbought 4-hour studies, suggesting corrective action, ahead of fresh attempt higher. Previous resistance at 0.9232/20, along with psychological 0.9200 level, offer good support, while only loss of 0.9100 support, also 50% retracement of 0.8891/0.9317 ascend, would bring bears back in play.


Res: 0.9316; 0.9343; 0.9350; 0.9400
Sup: 0.9279; 0.9232; 0.9220; 0.9200

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Old 12-09-2013, 05:31 PM
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Default Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (07:00 GMT)

EURUSD

The Euro cracked psychological 1.33 resistance on Wednesday’s rally through 1.3280, two-day consolidation top. Fresh gains reached 1.3323 so far, over 61.8% retracement of 1.3450/1.3103 downleg, with positive near-term studies being supportive for further advance. Clearance of 1.33 barrier would open way for final push towards key levels at 1.3414/50, 19/06 and 20/08 highs, also five-month cycle peaks. From the other side, daily studies are still weak and keep the risk of possible stall in play. Near-term bulls may be delayed, as 4-hour studies are overbought, with corrective easing expected to face immediate support at 1.3280, previous range top / daily 20DMA, ahead of more significant 1.3240/30 higher platform that should contain dips.

Res: 1.3323; 1.3355; 1.3400; 1.3414
Sup: 1.3280; 1.3253; 1.3230; 1.3220






GBPUSD

Near-term bulls remain unobstructed, as the pair rallies higher and broke above psychological 1.58 barrier, after clearing key short-term resistance at 1.5751. Fresh bull phase above 1.5751, attempts at initial target at 1.5843, 08/02 high, ahead of 1.5877; 01/02 high and psychological 1.5900 barrier. Studies remain positive on all timeframes and keep the upside favored, however, corrective pullback on overbought conditions is likely to precede fresh rallies. Immediate support lies at 1.5800, with previous peak at 1.5751, seen next and 1.5700 zone expected to contain.

Res: 1.5831; 1.5843; 1.5877; 1.5900
Sup: 1.5800; 1.5751; 1.5717; 1.5700






USDJPY

The pair came under increased pressure, after pullback from fresh high at 100.60, accelerated lower and broke below important 99.32 support and weekly low. With hourly studies being negative and 4-hour indicators approaching their midlines, immediate risk is seen on violation of 99.00 support that will fill Monday’s gap and open way for further easing towards 98.00, 50% retracement of 96.80/100.60 upleg and 98.53, 06/09 spike low, loss of which to confirm near-term top at 100.60. Conversely, reversal above 99.00, would keep near-term bulls in play, as positive daily studies support such scenario.


Res: 99.60; 100.00; 100.36; 100.44
Sup: 99.18; 99.00; 98.70; 98.53






AUDUSD

The Aussie’s near-term bulls extended higher to briefly test the upper boundary of pivotal 0.9300/50 resistance zone. Subsequent sharp pullback weakened hourly structure, as the price dipped about 100 pips, but could be still seen as corrective, as 4-hour structure is positive. However, reversing 4-hour indicators suggest that further easing cannot be ruled out, with strong 0.9232/20 and 0.9200 support area, coming in sight. Ideally, dips should be contained here, to keep overall near-term positive structure intact, as fresh strength above 0.9350 is required to signal reversal.


Res: 0.9275; 0.9300; 0.9316; 0.9353
Sup: 0.9232; 0.9220; 0.9200; 0.9170


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