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  #21 (permalink)  
Old 04-09-2010, 10:06 PM
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Great article on Fisher , the famous Guru.

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Old 15-09-2010, 12:35 AM
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Finally, you know it’s a depression when, 33 months after the onset of recession…

• Wages & Salaries are still down 3.7% from the prior peak
• Corporate profits are still down 20% from the peak
• Real GDP is still down 1.3% from the peak
• Industrial production is still down 7.2% from the peak
• Employment is still down 5.5% from the peak
• Retail sales are still down 4.5% from the peak
• Manufacturing orders are still down 22.1% from the peak
• Manufacturing shipments are still down 12.5% from the peak
• Exports are still down 9.2% from the peak
• Housing starts are still down 63.5% from the peak
• New home sales are still down 68.9% from the peak
• Existing home sales are still down 41.2% from the peak
• Non-residential construction is still down 35.7% from the peak

Folks, in a normal recession-recovery cycle, practically all these indicators are making new highs at this juncture of the business cycle.


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Old 15-09-2010, 12:40 AM
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Old 15-09-2010, 12:44 AM
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Old 26-12-2010, 08:13 PM
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As oil prices firm up and the producing nations refuse to show any willingness to increase production, importers of the commodity need to get ready for higher payouts. Amongst the largest and fastest growing economies, India is most vulnerable to the risk of higher oil prices. As today's chart shows, India has the highest crude oil import to consumption ratio amongst its emerging peers. Russia barely imports any. To top it, India's current account balance could have a gaping hole with the oil imports getting dearer.


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Old 26-12-2010, 08:19 PM
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Old 26-12-2010, 08:54 PM
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Originally Posted by shiree View Post
As oil prices firm up and the producing nations refuse to show any willingness to increase production, importers of the commodity need to get ready for higher payouts. Amongst the largest and fastest growing economies, India is most vulnerable to the risk of higher oil prices. As today's chart shows, India has the highest crude oil import to consumption ratio amongst its emerging peers. Russia barely imports any. To top it, India's current account balance could have a gaping hole with the oil imports getting dearer.


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I would kindoff agree that India is not in best of the situation in here. I think next dip in price (don't know when and from where) will lead to another deregulation.
May be we can see an increase in LPG for sure along with gasoline but increase in inflation is also on hand.

RBI with GoI have tough call to make tough call in coming weeks. China has already bitten the bullet with yesterday interest rate hike!

Seems like everything stacking up for another dip!!
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Old 30-12-2010, 08:21 PM
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Another one on the year 2011. This time around, it is the list of countries that are expected to grow the fastest in 2011. India and China, of course, are the usual suspects. But there are some surprise entries. None more so than the country at the top position. Ghana could well be the harbinger of change that is likely to sweep African continent in the coming decade. While India and China could continue to grow strongly, do not be surprised to find more African nations on the list as the conditions seem to be ripe for the continent to grow rapidly in the future.
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Old 30-12-2010, 08:46 PM
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Yep, why not? Mineral/Raw resource bowl of the earth already Now that they are opening up Agriculture, could become the food bowl as well.

We have had an era where paper money producers of the West were the heroes Going forward real tangible asset producers may be the ones to reap the accolades
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Old 30-12-2010, 08:50 PM
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Originally Posted by kkseal View Post
Yep, why not? Mineral/Raw resource bowl of the earth already Now that they are opening up Agriculture, could become the food bowl as well.

We have had an era where paper money producers of the West were the heroes Going forward real tangible asset producers may be the ones to reap the accolades

Nice perception.
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