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Old 16-04-2010, 04:06 AM
radha55 radha55 is offline
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Default Breakout Method - Scalping Intraday Method

Hi,

I would be posting here a simple way but little complex way of intraday trading.

This method is called as Breakout Method ( i name it as breakout. you may name it whatever u like )

The inspiration for this method has been taken from 2652 method. However, the method that will be explained here will be different from the above method. The idea is that the method explained here can be used anytime during the day.

I will be posting in another three threads about this method.

All suggestions are welcome.

LEG PULLERS PLEASE STAY AWAY FROM THIS THREAD.

A part of credit for this method goes to Mr. Dhiraj.

Last edited by radha55; 16-04-2010 at 04:12 AM.
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Old 16-04-2010, 04:07 AM
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Intraday trading using Breakout Method


What is breakout? What is breakout method?
A rise in a price of security above a certain level called as resistance or a drop below a certain level called as support is called breakout. A breakout is used to signify a continuing move in the same direction. It can be used by technical analysts as a buy or sell indicator.

Look at the image below for graphical explanation.



How can breakout help us in intraday trading?
Every trading underlying has a trading range at any day. In other words, on any given day, the trading underlying will move between two prices (high and low). Our main strategy should be to trade the underlying when it is about to start its biggest move for intraday (May it be upside or downside). To explain this, let us take a very simple example
Example 1: The stock ABC is trading at 100 at any point of time during the day. In another half hour it starts its sharp upward movement and creates new high. Our main strategy should be to catch a part of that sharp move (we cannot take the benefit of entire sharp upward movement or downward movement. And this is what we try to do with breakout method. We try to take benefit from a small part of sharp upward movement or downward movement.



If you look at the above image, you will find two important lines. (Upside Breakout and Downside Breakout).
What this line means to us is, if price moves above upside breakout, we will buy the underlying (long) and if the price moves below downside breakout, we will sell the underlying (short).
As you can see, when price moved above upside breakout, it went more up and made a new high.
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Old 16-04-2010, 04:08 AM
radha55 radha55 is offline
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How to identify breakout levels?

The most important is how to find the breakout levels. This section will tell how to find the breakout levels.
To find the breakout levels for any given day, we take into account previous day’s range. Based on previous day’s range and current day’s fluctuation, we find the breakout levels. Based on previous day’s range, we create 3 areas of trading.
These 3 areas are
1: Best possible Trading
2: Good Trading
3: Useless Trading
Follow the below steps to calculate the breakout levels.

Step 1: Find out the previous day’s high and low.
Step 2: Find out current day’s high and low at any point of time.
Step 3: Note down 2 fractions (0.45 and 0.75)
Step 4: Find the range of previous day. (Previous day high – Previous day low)
Step 5: Multiply the range for previous day with the two fractions from step 3. (0.45 and
0.75). Mark this result as MF1 andMF2.
Step 6: Now find current day’s range (Today’s high – Today’s low)
Step 7: Find out whether current day’s range is below MF1, between MF1 and MF2 or above MF2.
Step 8: If current day’s range is below MF1, then breakout levels are
Upside Breakout = Today’s low + MF1.
Downside Breakout = Today’s high – MF1.
Step 9: If current day’s range is between MF1 and MF2, then breakout levels are
Upside Breakout = Today’s low + MF2.
Downside Breakout = Today’s high – MF2.
Step 10: If current day’s range is above MF2, then DO NOT TRADE.
Step 11: Once we know the breakout levels, we can buy above Upside Breakout and sell below Downside breakout.
Step 12: Target should be 0.7%.
Step 13: Stop loss should be 0.8% or if the underlying is trading below our buy price or above our sell price for more than 10 min, then square off the position.
Step 14: This trading system is best suitable for those who can trade in multiple stocks and are very active in trading. One should not expect more than 1% from this system.
Step 15: You can find the breakout levels for free using the below website
Breakout Calculator
or
Breakout Calculator

Note: This system should be used till 2 pm (or 1 and half hour before market closes. Because there is no point finding breakouts in last minutes of trading session)

Last edited by radha55; 16-04-2010 at 04:14 AM.
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Old 16-04-2010, 04:08 AM
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Examples with various scenarios

Example 1: When the current day’s range is below MF1.
Let us take an example of Reliance for 13th Apr 2010.
Its previous day high/low = 1145 / 1122.65.
Range = 1145 – 1122.65 = 21.35.
MF1 = 0.45 * range = 9.6075
MF2 = 0.75 * range = 16.0125
Current day’s high/low = 1132 / 1123.
Range = 1132 – 1123 = 9.
So current day’s range 9 is less than MF1.
So upper breakout = low + MF1 = 1123 + 9.6 = 1133 (approx).
Lower breakout = high – MF1 = 1132 – 9.6 = 1121.95 (approx).

As seen in the below image, sell triggered at 1121.95.
Target didn’t got achieved in first fall but price didn’t remain above our sell price for more than 10 min. so we hold our short. Finally after 1-2 hr our target of 1114 got achieved.



Example 2: When the current day’s range is between MF1 and MF2.
Let us take an example of HDFC for 13th Apr 2010.
Its previous day high/low = 2856.50 / 2791.20.
Range = 2856.60-2791.20 = 65.3.
MF1 = 0.45 * range = 29.385.
MF2 = 0.75 * range = 48.975.
Current day’s high and low at 9:30 am was 2834 / 2797.
Range = 2834 – 2797 = 37.
So current day’s range 37 is between MF1 and MF2.

So our upper breakout = low + MF2 = 2797 + 48.975 = 2846.
Lower breakout = high – MF2 = 2834 – 48.975 = 2784.95.

As seen in below diagram, sell triggered below Lower breakout and target got achieved.



Some Salient Features of this method

1. This method is best suitable in trending market.
2. This method is suitable only for scrips with huge volume.
3. This system should be used in multiple scrips with small profit in each scrip to earn significantly in intraday.
4. This is simple mechanical method.
5. This method can be used anytime during the day. The only constraint is to use it after 20 min of market opening and before 90 min of market closing.
6. This method is good to identify whether a particular stock can be traded for rest of the day or not.
7. The trader has to be active to do multiple trades during the day.
8. This system is best for part time trader, who wants to earn small profit in intraday and consistently earn the profit.
9. The method helps in identifying whether a scrip has done any breakout during the day or not at any given point of time.
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Old 16-04-2010, 11:09 AM
shishirshah shishirshah is offline
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Thanks for giving such a detailed explanation

Have you checked this method for Nifty?
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Old 16-04-2010, 04:53 PM
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Could you please post an AFL for auto-analysis
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Old 16-04-2010, 04:55 PM
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It must be available herehttp://pivottrading.50webs.com/pivot/pivot/breakout.html
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Old 16-04-2010, 08:11 PM
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Old 20-04-2010, 02:01 AM
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Originally Posted by shishirshah View Post
Thanks for giving such a detailed explanation

Have you checked this method for Nifty?

This method cannot be used for Nifty.
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Old 20-04-2010, 02:01 AM
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Originally Posted by Nifty Surfer View Post
Could you please post an AFL for auto-analysis

I dont know AFL.
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