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  #71 (permalink)  
Old 24-07-2015, 03:04 PM
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energy index ke hawa nikal gaye...
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Old 24-07-2015, 03:12 PM
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2nd time this is happening, market opens at low close at its high and fall like a house of cards in next few days..... Daily chart 6 july and 22 july....
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Old 24-07-2015, 03:32 PM
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Old 26-07-2015, 06:40 PM
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What i think and what actually happens......
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Old 26-07-2015, 07:53 PM
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With all the back testing and LIVE trades data i realized if you are left wit enough money to trade a single lot you can make all back wit enough profit to make a fund manager embarrassed......

jan 2014 to dec 2014
No. of trades 165
win pro: 44.24%
loosing pro: 55.76%

Test i did with kind of LUCK i have was if i get all the Loosing trade first that is out of 165 trades straight 92 loosing trades by risking 2% on each trade and remaining 73 win by 3.3%, with a million rs capital i ll end up at 165th trade 1,667,717.3........................ voilą return of 60%+ absolute......


PHP Code:
        AVG RETU
     1
,000,000.00     
1     980
,000.00     -2.00%
2     960,400.00     -2.00%
3     941,192.00     -2.00%
4     922,368.16     -2.00%
5     903,920.80     -2.00%
6     885,842.38     -2.00%
7     868,125.53     -2.00%
8     850,763.02     -2.00%
9     833,747.76     -2.00%
10     817,072.81     -2.00%
11     800,731.35     -2.00%
12     784,716.72     -2.00%
13     769,022.39     -2.00%
14     753,641.94     -2.00%
15     738,569.10     -2.00%
16     723,797.72     -2.00%
17     709,321.77     -2.00%
18     695,135.33     -2.00%
19     681,232.62     -2.00%
20     667,607.97     -2.00%
21     654,255.81     -2.00%
22     641,170.70     -2.00%
23     628,347.28     -2.00%
24     615,780.34     -2.00%
25     603,464.73     -2.00%
26     591,395.44     -2.00%
27     579,567.53     -2.00%
28     567,976.18     -2.00%
29     556,616.65     -2.00%
30     545,484.32     -2.00%
31     534,574.63     -2.00%
32     523,883.14     -2.00%
33     513,405.48     -2.00%
34     503,137.37     -2.00%
35     493,074.62     -2.00%
36     483,213.13     -2.00%
37     473,548.87     -2.00%
38     464,077.89     -2.00%
39     454,796.33     -2.00%
40     445,700.40     -2.00%
41     436,786.40     -2.00%
42     428,050.67     -2.00%
43     419,489.65     -2.00%
44     411,099.86     -2.00%
45     402,877.86     -2.00%
46     394,820.31     -2.00%
47     386,923.90     -2.00%
48     379,185.42     -2.00%
49     371,601.71     -2.00%
50     364,169.68     -2.00%
51     356,886.29     -2.00%
52     349,748.56     -2.00%
53     342,753.59     -2.00%
54     335,898.52     -2.00%
55     329,180.55     -2.00%
56     322,596.94     -2.00%
57     316,145.00     -2.00%
58     309,822.10     -2.00%
59     303,625.66     -2.00%
60     297,553.14     -2.00%
61     291,602.08     -2.00%
62     285,770.04     -2.00%
63     280,054.64     -2.00%
64     274,453.54     -2.00%
65     268,964.47     -2.00%
66     263,585.18     -2.00%
67     258,313.48     -2.00%
68     253,147.21     -2.00%
69     248,084.27     -2.00%
70     243,122.58     -2.00%
71     238,260.13     -2.00%
72     233,494.93     -2.00%
73     228,825.03     -2.00%
74     224,248.53     -2.00%
75     219,763.56     -2.00%
76     215,368.29     -2.00%
77     211,060.92     -2.00%
78     206,839.70     -2.00%
79     202,702.91     -2.00%
80     198,648.85     -2.00%
81     194,675.87     -2.00%
82     190,782.36     -2.00%
83     186,966.71     -2.00%
84     183,227.37     -2.00%
85     179,562.83     -2.00%
86     175,971.57     -2.00%
87     172,452.14     -2.00%
88     169,003.10     -2.00%
89     165,623.03     -2.00%
90     162,310.57     -2.00%
91     159,064.36     -2.00%
92     155,883.07     -2.00%
93     161,027.22     3.30%
94     166,341.11     3.30%
95     171,830.37     3.30%
96     177,500.77     3.30%
97     183,358.30     3.30%
98     189,409.12     3.30%
99     195,659.62     3.30%
100     202,116.39     3.30%
101     208,786.23     3.30%
102     215,676.18     3.30%
103     222,793.49     3.30%
104     230,145.68     3.30%
105     237,740.48     3.30%
106     245,585.92     3.30%
107     253,690.26     3.30%
108     262,062.03     3.30%
109     270,710.08     3.30%
110     279,643.51     3.30%
111     288,871.75     3.30%
112     298,404.52     3.30%
113     308,251.87     3.30%
114     318,424.18     3.30%
115     328,932.18     3.30%
116     339,786.94     3.30%
117     350,999.91     3.30%
118     362,582.90     3.30%
119     374,548.14     3.30%
120     386,908.23     3.30%
121     399,676.20     3.30%
122     412,865.51     3.30%
123     426,490.08     3.30%
124     440,564.25     3.30%
125     455,102.87     3.30%
126     470,121.26     3.30%
127     485,635.27     3.30%
128     501,661.23     3.30%
129     518,216.05     3.30%
130     535,317.18     3.30%
131     552,982.65     3.30%
132     571,231.07     3.30%
133     590,081.70     3.30%
134     609,554.40     3.30%
135     629,669.69     3.30%
136     650,448.79     3.30%
137     671,913.60     3.30%
138     694,086.75     3.30%
139     716,991.61     3.30%
140     740,652.34     3.30%
141     765,093.86     3.30%
142     790,341.96     3.30%
143     816,423.24     3.30%
144     843,365.21     3.30%
145     871,196.26     3.30%
146     899,945.74     3.30%
147     929,643.95     3.30%
148     960,322.20     3.30%
149     992,012.83     3.30%
150     1,024,749.26     3.30%
151     1,058,565.98     3.30%
152     1,093,498.66     3.30%
153     1,129,584.12     3.30%
154     1,166,860.39     3.30%
155     1,205,366.78     3.30%
156     1,245,143.89     3.30%
157     1,286,233.64     3.30%
158     1,328,679.35     3.30%
159     1,372,525.76     3.30%
160     1,417,819.11     3.30%
161     1,464,607.15     3.30%
162     1,512,939.18     3.30%
163     1,562,866.17     3.30%
164     1,614,440.76     3.30%
165     1,667,717.30     3.30
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Last edited by SAAK; 26-07-2015 at 08:03 PM.
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  #76 (permalink)  
Old 26-07-2015, 10:41 PM
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Well i do not want to discourage you with all effort, but you must understand the feasibility of outcome/return produced by back-testing analysis. Otherwise a false conclusion will harm capital any day.

With each trade being either win or loss , 165 trades will produce 2(Power 165) = 4.67681E+49 combination of streaks. You are choosing 1 combination out of this huge bunch , with probability of getting catch 1/(4.67681E+49), next to impossible. If this happens in our life than Nassim Nicholas Taleb will definitely go crazy with finding second BlackSwan of century but ultimately proving his theory right.

Would you like to be happy with this.
I do not want to iginite any debate on this but just wanted to look logically in real life.
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  #77 (permalink)  
Old 27-07-2015, 09:05 AM
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......................
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Last edited by SAAK; 27-07-2015 at 10:14 AM.
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Old 27-07-2015, 09:44 AM
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The reason i bought LUPIN was its chart was looking better than Nifty and pharma index both............
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Old 27-07-2015, 09:46 AM
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Banknifty is the weakest today.....
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Old 27-07-2015, 10:05 AM
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Banknifty, Auto, Pharma...... jai ho....
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