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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 28-11-2016, 11:35 PM
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Default FTSE Market Outlook by Option Banque

Dragged Down By Bankers And Oil Producers, FTSE Turns Lower

U.K. shares declined on Monday, weighed lower by bankers who have been under pressures from Wednesday’s Bank of England’s stress results, and oil producers on mounting concerns that OPEC will fail to reach an output deal at a closely watched meeting later this week.

Energy companies were among the biggest decliners on the FTSE 100 index due to uncertainties over the outcome of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meeting in Vienna on Wednesday.

Crude oil opened the first session of the week with a gap down after Saudi Arabia on Sunday showed signs of unwillingness to join such deal. According to the Saudi newspaper Asharq al-Awsat, Khalid Al-Falih, the Saudi oil minister on Sunday stated that “We expect demand to recover in 2017, then prices will stabilize, and this will happen without an intervention from OPEC,”. The kingdom also withdrew from talks originally scheduled for Monday with producers outside the 14-nation cartel.

Shares of BP PLC dropped nearly 0.8%, while Royal Dutch Shell PLC shed 1.21%.
Banks were also on the decline ahead of the Bank of England’s stress results due on Wednesday.

Shares of Royal Bank of Scotland Group and Barclays PLC lost 2.44% and 1.48% respectively. According to market sources, those two banks may risk a “soft fail” of tougher thresholds set for lenders deemed to be integral to the global banking system. Besides, Lloyds Banking Group LLOY slipped 1.3%.

Standard Chartered PLC contributed to the down side, sliding 0.84% after Reuters on Monday reported that the Asia-focused bank looked set to cut about 10% of its global corporate and institutional banking staff.

The rally in metal prices bolstered mining companies’ stocks. Shares of precious-metals producer Randgold Resources Ltd. added nearly 1% as gold and silver soared roughly 1%. Polymetal International PLC advanced 1.61% while Fresnillo PLC jumped 1.9%.


Fig: FTSE 100 index H4 technical chart

FTSE 100 index pulled back from the resistance at 6850.00. The price action fell below a pair of MAs again, suggesting a reversal into a downtrend. RSI has broken below the 50 line, which indicates an overwhelming bearish force. The price is anticipated to test the 23.6% retracement.

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  #32 (permalink)  
Old 29-11-2016, 04:47 PM
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Default Daily Report on November 29, 2016 by Option Banque


Daily Report on November 29, 2016



European shares and developed Asian stocks declined on Tuesday as oil dropped on disagreement that remains among OPEC members over which producers should cut by how much. While Asia Pacific Index shed 0.1%, Japan’s Topix Index, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index and New Zealand’s S&P/NZX 50 Index were all little changed.

WTI crude prices pulled back below $47 per barrel after Iraq and Iran raised objections with OPEC officials over how to distribute output reductions, referring the issue to ministers for further consideration. The cartel has also failed to work out a plan for non-OPEC oil giant Russia to participate in its output-cut deal.

A rally in metals ran out of steam with copper slumping for the first time in seven days. Copper futures lost 1.6 percent on the London Metal Exchange, nickel plunged 2.2 percent while zinc edged 1.5 percent lower. Gold also retreated on Tuesday following last session’s 0.9 percent advance.

In China, the government was reported to step up efforts to contain runaway property prices. According to market sources, the People Bank of China has clamped down further on mortgage lending in areas deemed overheated by asking lenders in those cities to suspend distributing new home loans.



Technicals

EURUSD



Fig: EURUSD H4 Technical Chart

EURUSD reversed lower from the highest level since November 17, 2016 at 1.06852 as bulls failed to support the price to surge higher above the long-term MA50. The pair has fallen back below the dynamic resistance and looks set to retest the lowest level since last early-December.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Put Option from 1.05800 to 1.05200 valid until 20:00 GMT November 29, 2016



NZDUSD



Fig: NZDUSD H4 Technical Chart

NZDUSD is about to reattempt the resistance at 0.71000. The pair failed to break above this level yesterday. However, with a soaring RSI index and a divergence between the +DI and –DI lines of ADX chart, a breakout is expected. Additionally, the upside has been supported by the fact that the short-term MA20 has penetrated the long-term MA50 from below.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Call Option from 0.71000 to 0.71400 valid until 20:00 GMT November 29, 2016



GOLD



Fig: GOLD H4 Technical Chart

Gold has been moving indecisively under the 1200.00 threshold for nearly a week. The precious metal price is struggling around the short-term 20-period MA20 and remains under downward pressure from the long-term MA50. As RSI index is pointing downward under the 50 line, bearish momentum may send gold price lower.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Put Option from 1185.00 to 1173.00 valid until 20:00 GMT November 29, 2016



WTI


Fig: WTI H4 Technical Chart

U.S. crude prices pulled back from the 50.0% Fibonacci level at 47.44. The prices were contained by both the Fibonacci handle and a couple of MAs. The short-term MA20 is much likely to cross over the long-term MA50, consolidating a reversal into a downtrend. %K line is running ahead of the %D line, supporting further down moves.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Put Option from 46.20 to 45.20 valid until 20:00 GMT November 29, 2016
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  #33 (permalink)  
Old 29-11-2016, 04:49 PM
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Default GBP/AUD signal by Option Banque

GBP/AUD signal by Option Banque

From 1.66000
Till 1.66600

Buy Option Digital
Direction Call
Expiry GMT 21:00 29/11/2016
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  #34 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2016, 12:24 AM
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Default SP500 Trade Idea by Option Banque

Strong Economic Data Overwhelm Oil Slide, Sending SP500 Higher

U.S. shares shrugged off early losses to turn higher on Tuesday, hovering near all-time record high logged last Friday. The benchmark SP500 index edged 0.3% higher, boosted by a slew of better-than-expected economic reports, which overshadowed a drop in crude prices.

The Conference Board on Tuesday reported the U.S. consumer confidence soared to prerecession levels in November. The index advanced to the highest since July 2007 at 107.1, comfortably beating analysts’ forecasts for an increase to 102 in November.

The U.S. economy was reported to grow at the fastest pace in over two years in the third quarter. Besides surging exports, the rally was also powered by consumers and government that stepped up their spending. According to the Commerce Department, gross domestic product expanded at a 3.2% annual rate – the strongest pace since the second quarter of 2014.

At the time of trading, eight of the 11 main sectors were trading higher, led by real estates and health care shares. Energy sector was down 1.35% as oil futures ticked lower ahead of a key meeting of major crude producers.

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  #35 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2016, 12:30 AM
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Default

SA President Zuma Survives Impeachment Vote, Rand Collapses

The South African Rand dropped more than 2.4% on Tuesday, paring all of its gains versus the U.S. dollar yesterday after a local newspaper reported that scandal-tinged President Jacob Zuma had survived a ruling party vote to remove him.

The pair USDZAR turned lower last week as the Rand was supported by news that that a good portion of the ANC’s leadership want a new leader for the country. Zuma’s presidency has been plagued by accusations of corruption and other scandals.

Before having been accused of allowing members of the prominent Gupta family to influence cabinet appointments, Zuma has had to take out a home loan to repay 7.8 million rand (£405,146) of state money which had been spent on non-security, lavish improvements to his private residence.

Market analysts predicted more rand weakness as South Africa’s credit rating may be downgraded.

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  #36 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2016, 04:22 PM
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Default Daily Report on November 30, 2016 by Option Banque


Daily Report on November 30, 2016



The U.S. dollar headed for its sharpest one-month advance since May as Treasuries fell, sending yields higher that spurred gains in the greenback. The U.S. dollar, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major peers, climbed 0.17 percent to 101.16 in the second half of Asian trading session.

Industrial metals extended their declines to a second-straight session after the London Metal Exchange Index reached the highest since May 2015 on Monday. While copper hit one-week low at $2.5500/lb, tin and nickel each slumped at least 0.7 percent. The London Metal Exchange Index may fall further to day after tumbling 3.4 percent on Tuesday, its biggest one-day retreat in more than a year.

Crude oil futures reversed higher in nervous trading on Wednesday ahead of an OPEC meeting later in the day. International Brent crude hit an intra-day high at $47.43 per barrel, up 2.4% from its last close. Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 2.1% to $46.14 per barrel. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is trying to thrash out an output cut deal and is expected to deliver such an agreement later today.

The American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday reported crude oil inventories in the U.S. fell 720,000 barrels last week, following a draw of 1.28 million barrels the previous week. The reading was 120,000 barrels more than expected.

Elsewhere, according to the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Japan's industrial output expanded for a third straight month in October. Supported by exports of electronics and other products to China, Japanese output rose 0.1% month-on-month following a rise of 0.6% in September.



Technicals

AUDNZD



Fig: AUDNZD H4 Technical Chart

AUDNZD has been nose-diving from the resistance at 1.05900. The pair has broken the 23.6% retracement and is expected to test over one-week low at 104.150. However, as can be observed from two indicator windows, the market has entered the oversold zone, implying an upcoming correction.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Call Option from 1.04150 to 1.04800 valid until 20:00 GMT November 30, 2016



EURCAD



Fig: EURCAD H4 Technical Chart

EURCAD pulled back after a correction from the start of this week. The pair had rebounded from the lowest level since late-April at 1.41650 and sent the market to the overbought zone. As can be seen from the Stochastic chart, the %K line has crossed over the %D line from above, suggesting a reversal into a down trend.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Put Option from 1.42700 to 1.42000 valid until 20:00 GMT November 30, 2016



WTI



Fig: WTI H4 Technical Chart

Crude price scaled back from the 23.6% Fibonacci level, looking set to complete the double bottom pattern as the price is likely to surge past the neck level at 50.0% retracement. In the event of continual upbeat moves, the commodity prices may attempt the next Fib. level at 61.8%.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Call Option from 47.50 to 48.50 valid until 20:00 GMT November 30, 2016



CAC40



Fig: CAC40 Index H4 Technical Chart

CAC40 index is struggling under the 61.8% retracement after failed to breach this level. However, bullish momentum supported by two MAs is expected to sustain the price’s rally. RSI is pointing upwards, consolidating further advance. The French benchmark may test the resistance at 4600.00 threshold.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Call Option from 4570.00 to 4600.00 valid until 20:00 GMT November 30, 2016
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  #37 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2016, 04:23 PM
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Default

COFFEE signal by Option Banque

From 149.35
Till 147.00

Option Digital
Direction Put
Expiry GMT 21:00 30/11/2016
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  #38 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2016, 11:53 PM
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Default FTSE Market Outlook by Option Banque

FTSE Ticks Higher, Supported By Soaring Oil Price

U.K. share surged in morning session on Wednesday as a rally in oil producers’ stocks overshadowed a drop in Royal Bank of Scotland PLC’s equities.

West Texas Intermediate oil took off nearly 6%, while Brent crude jumped 6.86% following reports that OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo said the group will reach an output-cut deal in Vienna on Wednesday. Shares of oil producers BP PLC added 2.77% while those of Royal Dutch Shell PLC gained 3.77%.
According to the result of the Bank of England’s stress test released earlier today, Royal Bank of Scotland PLC would have to raise capital by around £2 billion ($2.5 billion) to meet regulatory requirements. Shares of the lender lost 4.01%.

Other bankers which are Standard Chartered and Barclays were also revealed to fail the stress test but neither bank has to submit new capital plans. However, shares of those banks edged more than 0.5% lower.

Trade suggestion
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  #39 (permalink)  
Old 30-11-2016, 11:58 PM
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Default Brent Crude Market Outlook by Option Banque

OPEC To Trim Output For The First Time In 8 Years, Brent Soars

International Brent crude jumped more than 8% on Wednesday after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to curb oil output for the first time since 2008.

Brent crude futures for January delivery soared to one-month highs at $50.45 per barrel, on course for their biggest one-day move in nine months. According to an OPEC source, the 14-nation cartel has reached an output limiting deal in order to splash production by 1.2 million barrels a day to 32.5 million a day.

The move aims at draining a crude glut that’s pushed down prices for two years, which will help oil-producing countries revive their tattered finances.

It’s not yet known how deep key OPEC member Saudi Arabia will cut but the kingdom had already stated that it had been prepared to accept “a big hit” on its own production. The largest oil producer of the OPEC also agreed to allow its rival Iran to freeze output at pre-sanctions levels.

The agreement is also reported to call for a reduction of about 600,000 barrels a day by non-OPEC countries

The U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday said domestic crude supplies fell by 884,000 barrels in the week ending November 25. The figure contrasted with analysts’ expectations for an increase of 636,000 barrels.


Fig: BRENT D1 Technical Chart

Brent crude price has not only broken above the 23.6% retracemnet but also crossed over both short-term and long-term MAs, suggting a strong bullish momentum. The advance has sent the oil market into a bullish territory. As RSI keeps surging, Brent crude is expected to test the resistance at 51.00.

Trade suggestion
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  #40 (permalink)  
Old 01-12-2016, 04:51 PM
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Default Daily Report on December 1, 2016 by Option Banque


Daily Report on December 1, 2016



Crude prices extended their gains on Thursday after soaring strongly on Wednesday as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to its first output cut since 2008. Energy shares were given a fresh boost, fueling global benchmark indexes to sweep higher. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.7 percent with a sub-gauge of energy stocks jumping 4.4 percent. Japan’s Topix index reached highest level since January, rallying 0.9 percent, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was up 0.6 percent.

OPEC finally took action to clear a glut that has reigned in the market for two years. West Texas Intermediate crude rose more than 1% to trade as high as $50.22 after surging 9.3 percent last session, the biggest one-day gain since Feb. 12. The commodity finished November up 5.5 percent. The OPEC-led deal was broader than expected, given that the output-cut agreement extended beyond the bloc with Russia also joining output reductions for the first time in 15 years.

Meanwhile, after less than a year rejoining the OPEC, Indonesia has suspended its membership of the cartel. The net oil importer said it could not agree to the group's production cuts level which was offered at 37,000 barrels per day (bpd), or about 5 percent of Indonesia’s output.

Elsewhere, Bank of Japan board member Makoto Sakurai on Thursday cleared doubts that the central banks’ bond-buying program was nearing a limit, saying the BOJ would continue to buy massive amounts of government bonds even under a new policy framework targeting interest rates. Speaking in a conference in the city of Otsu, western Japan, Sakurai also underlined supports and efforts of Japanese government and companies to help BOJ beat subdued inflation and growth in Japan by raising wages and promoting innovation.



Technicals

USDJPY



Fig: USDJPY H4 Technical Chart

USDJPY has been struggling around the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement since yesterday. This is the highest level since early March. The pair reached the overbought market on Wednesday and had to retreat as investors took profit. However, with a market in favor of buyers, USDJPY may break above this level to test the resistance at 116.000.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Call Option from 114.500 to 116.000 valid until 20:00 GMT December 01, 2016



AUDUSD



Fig: AUDUSD H4 Technical Chart

AUDUSD has given up its bullish strength to reverse lower after hitting the short-term MA20. The pair extended its down moves following a correction from one-week lows at 0.73734. As RSI is pointing to the oversold zone and two MAs are exerting downwards pressure on the price, AUDUSD may fall to as low as 50.0% level.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Put Option from 0.73800 to 0.73300 valid until 20:00 GMT December 01, 2016



SILVER



Fig: SILEVR H4 Technical Chart

SILVER has pulled back from 61.8% retracement. Under pressure from two MAs and the Fibonacci level, the metal is anticipated to extend its downside. RSI index has scaled back from the 50 line, suggesting an overwhelmingly dominant bearish force.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Put Option from 16.300 to 16.000 valid until 20:00 GMT December 01, 2016



BRENT



Fig: BRENT H4 Technical Chart

Brent has been trading sideways under a solid resistance at 52.70. The commodity which soared vigorously from the 23.6% retracement has neared the overblown market. Therefore, a consolidation at this level is understandable. The short-term MA20 has converged with the long-term MA50 from below, supporting further advances.

Trade suggestion

Buy Digital Call Option from 52.70 to 53.80 valid until 20:00 GMT December 01, 2016
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